Project AURIONAI Use-Cases Research & Innovation
time seriesfamily

TimesFM

Google Research time-series foundation model family (1.0, 2.0, 2.5, 3.0).

Google
Levelfamily
Classtime series
Parametersnot in the notes
Contextnot in the notes
Releasednot in the notes
Opennessunknown
Runs onnot in the notes
Statusactive

Benchmark Results

vendor-reportedindependent
fev-benchtime series
TimesFM 3.0Google claims best pretrained FM; no numbers givenvendor-reported
no score in the notes
rank 131 Aug 2026 datanorth.ai
GIFT-Evaltime series
TimesFM 3.0zero-shot; rank is average CRPS rankindependentno test-data leakage
0.456
rank 14 of 143, Leaderboard rebuilt from the published raw results, 143 entries covering all 97 configurations9 Oct 2026 huggingface.co
TimesFM 2.5zero-shot; rank is average CRPS rankindependentno test-data leakage
0.49
00.51

Score in CRPS (geo-mean, normalised to Seasonal Naive). Lower is better.

rank 66 of 143, Leaderboard rebuilt from the published raw results, 143 entries covering all 97 configurations9 Oct 2026 huggingface.co
TimesFM 3.0zero-shotindependentno test-data leakage
0.667
Leaderboard rebuilt from the published raw results, 143 entries covering all 97 configurations9 Oct 2026 huggingface.co
TimesFM 2.5zero-shotindependentno test-data leakage
0.705
00.71.4

Score in MASE (geo-mean, normalised to Seasonal Naive). Lower is better.

Leaderboard rebuilt from the published raw results, 143 entries covering all 97 configurations9 Oct 2026 huggingface.co
TimesFM 2.5zero-shot foundation-model CRPS rank, lower is bettervendor-reported
25.8
02040

Score in mean CRPS rank. Lower is better.

Toto 2.0 report (Datadog)Jun 2026 arxiv.org
TimesFM 3.0Google claims best pretrained FM; no numbers givenvendor-reported
no score in the notes
rank 131 Aug 2026 datanorth.ai
TIMEtime series
TimesFM 3.0Google claims best pretrained FM; no numbers givenvendor-reported
no score in the notes
rank 131 Aug 2026 datanorth.ai
Where this comes from
Every score names who ran it: vendor-reported, maintainer-run or independent. A rank is shown with the population it was ranked in (gap rule 3).

Lineage

202520262027TimesFM 2.5TimesFM 2.5, Sep 2025TimesFM 3.0TimesFM 3.0, Aug 2026

2 members have no release date in the notes, so they are not on this timeline.

GoogleTimesFM 3.0 belongs to this familytime series31 Aug 2026330M
GoogleTimesFM 2.5 belongs to this familytime series2 Sep 2025200M
GoogleTimesFM 1.0 belongs to this familytime series
GoogleTimesFM 2.0 belongs to this familytime series
Where this comes from
Parent and child relations from model cards, Hugging Face base_model fields and the genealogy tables of the research notes. Confidence and evidence are the notes' own.

R&D Topics

Identity

Developer
Google
Family
not in the notes
Released
– sources
Weights published
–
Record checked
10 Oct 2026
Where this comes from
Developer and dates from the research notes. Release date is the vendor's public announcement; weights date is when open weights were published.

Architecture and Size

Architecture
dense transformer
Total parameters
– sources
Active parameters
–
Checkpoint parameters
–
Context length
not in the notes
Input
time series
Output
time series
Where this comes from
Parameter counts as the developer states them. Where the checkpoint holds a different total, both are shown (register A16).

Openness and Access

Openness
unknown
Licence
not in the notes sources
Access routes
not in the notes
Where this comes from
The licence file governs over registry tags and aggregator labels.

Deployment

Runs on
not in the notes
Footprint
not in the notes
Runtimes
not in the notes
Where this comes from
Deployment tiers and runtimes as named in the notes. Footprint is the notes' figure, not a measurement by AURION.

Indonesia

Indonesian support
not stated
Regional languages
not in the notes
Jakarta hosting
unknown
Languages
not in the notes
Where this comes from
Indonesia fields are carried on every model; unknown is an allowed value.

Industry Use Cases

No industry use case links this model.

Sources

  1. thenewstack.io/google-timesfm-3-multivariate-forecasting https://thenewstack.io/google-timesfm-3-multivariate-forecasting/
  2. TimesFM vs Chronos vs Moirai: The Leader's Weights Ban Production beri.net https://www.beri.net/article/timesfm-vs-chronos-vs-moirai-time-series-foundation-model-licence-bigquery-sagemaker-cost-2026

To cite this page: Project AURION, AI Use-Cases Research & Innovation, "TimesFM", https://aurion.semai.id/models/google-timesfm/, records of October 2026.