Project AURIONAI Use-Cases Research & Innovation
time series

FlowState r1.1

IBM TSFM compact forecasting model.

IBM
Levelmodel
Classtime series
Parameters9.07M
Contextnot in the notes
Released10 Sep 2025
Opennessopen weights permissive
Runs onnot in the notes
Statusactive

Benchmark Results

vendor-reportedindependent
GIFT-Evaltime series
zero-shot foundation-model CRPS rank, lower is bettervendor-reported
25.6
02040

Score in mean CRPS rank. Lower is better.

Toto 2.0 report (Datadog)Jun 2026 arxiv.org
zero-shotindependentno test-data leakage
0.701
00.71.4

Score in MASE (geo-mean, normalised to Seasonal Naive). Lower is better.

Leaderboard rebuilt from the published raw results, 143 entries covering all 97 configurations9 Oct 2026 huggingface.co
zero-shot; rank is average CRPS rankindependentno test-data leakage
0.487
00.51

Score in CRPS (geo-mean, normalised to Seasonal Naive). Lower is better.

rank 64 of 143, Leaderboard rebuilt from the published raw results, 143 entries covering all 97 configurations9 Oct 2026 huggingface.co
Where this comes from
Every score names who ran it: vendor-reported, maintainer-run or independent. A rank is shown with the population it was ranked in (gap rule 3).

R&D Topics

Identity

Developer
IBM
Family
not in the notes
Released
10 Sep 2025 sourcesregistry date
Weights published
–
Record checked
10 Oct 2026
Where this comes from
Developer and dates from the research notes. Release date is the vendor's public announcement; weights date is when open weights were published.

Architecture and Size

Architecture
other
Total parameters
9.07M sources
Active parameters
–
Checkpoint parameters
–
Context length
not in the notes
Input
time series
Output
time series
Where this comes from
Parameter counts as the developer states them. Where the checkpoint holds a different total, both are shown (register A16).

Openness and Access

Openness
open weights permissive
Licence
Apache License 2.0 sources
Access routes
open weights download
Where this comes from
The licence file governs over registry tags and aggregator labels.

Deployment

Runs on
not in the notes
Footprint
not in the notes
Runtimes
not in the notes
Where this comes from
Deployment tiers and runtimes as named in the notes. Footprint is the notes' figure, not a measurement by AURION.

Indonesia

Indonesian support
not stated
Regional languages
not in the notes
Jakarta hosting
unknown
Languages
not in the notes
Where this comes from
Indonesia fields are carried on every model; unknown is an allowed value.

Lineage

The notes record no lineage for this model.

Industry Use Cases

No industry use case links this model.

Sources

  1. arxiv.org/pdf/2605.20119 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.20119
  2. GIFT Eval - a Hugging Face Space by Salesforce huggingface.co https://huggingface.co/spaces/Salesforce/GIFT-Eval
  3. huggingface.co/api/models/ibm-granite/granite-timeseries-flo... https://huggingface.co/api/models/ibm-granite/granite-timeseries-flowstate-r1

To cite this page: Project AURION, AI Use-Cases Research & Innovation, "FlowState r1.1", https://aurion.semai.id/models/ibm-flowstate-r1-1/, records of October 2026.