Project AURIONAI Use-Cases Research & Innovation
weather

GenCast (WeatherNext 1 Gen)

Ensemble weather model; beat ECMWF ENS on more than 96% of targets; code Apache-2.0.

Google DeepMind
Levelmodel
Classweather
Parametersnot in the notes
Contextnot in the notes
Released2024
Opennessopen weights restricted
Runs onsingle datacentre GPU
Statusactive

Benchmark Results

maintainer-run
Z500 day 10, deterministic, GenCast (oper.) (mean) vs Analysismaintainer-run
607.5
0450900

Score in RMSE m2/s2. Lower is better.

year 2022, 240x121 grid10 Oct 2026 researchsites.withgoogle.com
Z500 day 10, deterministic, GenCast (mean) vs ERA5maintainer-run
606.5
0450900

Score in RMSE m2/s2. Lower is better.

year 2020, 240x121 grid10 Oct 2026 researchsites.withgoogle.com
Z500 day 5, deterministic, GenCast (oper.) (mean) vs Analysismaintainer-run
264.7
0450900

Score in RMSE m2/s2. Lower is better.

year 2022, 240x121 grid10 Oct 2026 researchsites.withgoogle.com
Z500 day 5, deterministic, GenCast (mean) vs ERA5maintainer-run
262.4
0450900

Score in RMSE m2/s2. Lower is better.

year 2020, 240x121 grid10 Oct 2026 researchsites.withgoogle.com
Z500 day 3, deterministic, GenCast (oper.) (mean) vs Analysismaintainer-run
124.3
0450900

Score in RMSE m2/s2. Lower is better.

year 2022, 240x121 grid10 Oct 2026 researchsites.withgoogle.com
Z500 day 3, deterministic, GenCast (mean) vs ERA5maintainer-run
123.5
0450900

Score in RMSE m2/s2. Lower is better.

year 2020, 240x121 grid10 Oct 2026 researchsites.withgoogle.com
Z500 day 1, deterministic, GenCast (mean) vs ERA5maintainer-run
39.3
0450900

Score in RMSE m2/s2. Lower is better.

year 2020, 240x121 grid10 Oct 2026 researchsites.withgoogle.com
Z500 day 1, deterministic, GenCast (oper.) (mean) vs Analysismaintainer-run
39.2
0450900

Score in RMSE m2/s2. Lower is better.

year 2022, 240x121 grid10 Oct 2026 researchsites.withgoogle.com
T850 day 10, deterministic, GenCast (oper.) (mean) vs Analysismaintainer-run
2.693
024

Score in RMSE K. Lower is better.

year 2022, 240x121 grid10 Oct 2026 researchsites.withgoogle.com
T850 day 5, deterministic, GenCast (oper.) (mean) vs Analysismaintainer-run
1.477
024

Score in RMSE K. Lower is better.

year 2022, 240x121 grid10 Oct 2026 researchsites.withgoogle.com
Where this comes from
Every score names who ran it: vendor-reported, maintainer-run or independent. A rank is shown with the population it was ranked in (gap rule 3).

Lineage

successor
GenCast (WeatherNext 1 Gen) to WeatherNext 2 (FGN): successor, high confidenceGraphCast (WeatherNext 1 Graph) to WeatherNext 2 (FGN): successor, high confidenceWeatherNext 2 (FGN) to WeatherNext 3: successor, high confidenceGraphCast (WeatherNext 1 Graph)GraphCast (WeatherNext 1 G…Google DeepMind, 2023GenCast (WeatherNext 1 Gen)GenCast (WeatherNext 1 Gen)Google DeepMind, 2024WeatherNext 2 (FGN)WeatherNext 2 (FGN)Google DeepMind, Nov 2025WeatherNext 3WeatherNext 3Google DeepMind, Aug 2026
Google DeepMindWeatherNext 2 (FGN) is a child (successor)high confidencenotes
Where this comes from
Parent and child relations from model cards, Hugging Face base_model fields and the genealogy tables of the research notes. The tree shows two generations each way, 4 models. Confidence and evidence are the notes' own.

R&D Topics

Identity

Developer
Google DeepMind
Family
not in the notes
Released
2024 sourcesnotesunverified
Weights published
–
Record checked
10 Oct 2026
Where this comes from
Developer and dates from the research notes. Release date is the vendor's public announcement; weights date is when open weights were published.

Architecture and Size

Architecture
diffusion Diffusion ensemble on a mesh; 0.25 deg / 1 deg; Mini 1 deg
Total parameters
– sources
Active parameters
–
Checkpoint parameters
–
Context length
not in the notes
Input
sensor
Output
sensor
Where this comes from
Parameter counts as the developer states them. Where the checkpoint holds a different total, both are shown (register A16).

Openness and Access

Openness
open weights restricted
Licence
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 sources
Access routes
open weights download
Where this comes from
The licence file governs over registry tags and aggregator labels.

Deployment

Runs on
single datacentre GPU
Footprint
Mini runs on Colab
Runtimes
not in the notes
Where this comes from
Deployment tiers and runtimes as named in the notes. Footprint is the notes' figure, not a measurement by AURION.

Indonesia

Indonesian support
not stated
Regional languages
not in the notes
Jakarta hosting
unknown
Languages
not in the notes
Where this comes from
Indonesia fields are carried on every model; unknown is an allowed value.

Industry Use Cases

No industry use case links this model.

Sources

  1. GitHub - google-deepmind/weathernext github.com https://github.com/google-deepmind/graphcast
  2. developers.google.com/weathernext/guides/evals https://developers.google.com/weathernext/guides/evals

To cite this page: Project AURION, AI Use-Cases Research & Innovation, "GenCast (WeatherNext 1 Gen)", https://aurion.semai.id/models/google-deepmind-gencast/, records of October 2026.